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Red261
51158.1
5740138.5
5914144.6
Blue431
4198159.5
2834193.2
3542183.1
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2744390100200400500600700261431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#36
158.10.2
158.3158.1
Auto18.0
Teleop111.2
End28.1
blue by 35.2
2834
#20
193.20.3
193.5193.2
Auto22.3
Teleop144.0
End24.6
Second
5914
#27
144.60.1
144.5144.6
Auto18.2
Teleop105.0
End17.4
blue by 38.5
183.11.5
180.0181.5
Auto23.4
Teleop132.4
End30.3
Third
5740
#45
138.50.3
138.8138.5
Auto18.0
Teleop100.2
End17.6
blue by 20.9
4198
#24
159.50.4
159.0159.5
Auto18.4
Teleop116.1
End24.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsEarned77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
32%Face the Boss oddsMissed69%Face the Boss oddsEarned