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Red467
4028193.8
4905155.6
4458153.5
Blue281
5434150.4
2194180.6
977147.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions399338100200300500600700467281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#11
193.80.3
194.0193.8
Auto20.0
Teleop138.7
End33.7
red by 13.2
2194
#15
180.60.5
180.1180.6
Auto24.2
Teleop132.6
End24.2
Second
4905
#62
155.60.1
154.9155.0
Auto18.5
Teleop112.6
End22.4
red by 5.2
5434
#51
150.40.5
149.9150.4
Auto25.4
Teleop110.1
End15.5
Third
4458
#34
153.50.2
153.3153.5
Auto19.1
Teleop106.9
End28.1
red by 6.1
977
#57
147.40.0
147.4147.4
Auto18.2
Teleop105.3
End25.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
70%Face the Boss oddsEarned28%Face the Boss oddsMissed