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Qual 1062018 Darwin Division
Red470
2501154.1
4946178.9
1625174.5
Blue347
6869148.2
5234164.3
2451183.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354347200250300400450500470347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4946
#9
178.90.0
178.6→178.6
Auto23.7
Teleop133.9
End16.6
blue by 4.8
2451
#32
183.71.7
186.8→185.0
Auto20.6
Teleop144.1
End21.1
Second
1625
#16
174.50.2
174.7→174.5
Auto25.9
Teleop115.4
End31.9
red by 10.3
5234
#31
164.30.1
164.4→164.3
Auto23.6
Teleop123.0
End19.0
Third
2501
#50
154.10.2
154.3→154.1
Auto19.0
Teleop111.2
End23.7
red by 5.9
6869
#21
148.21.1
149.3→148.2
Auto17.2
Teleop113.1
End18.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
98%Auto Quest oddsEarned79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
34%Face the Boss oddsMissed21%Face the Boss oddsEarned