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Qual 1102018 Darwin Division
Red183
5492151.5
3461175.2
5443112.6
Blue356
176199.9
3844133.1
3536181.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2744250100200500600700183356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3461
#22
175.21.2
174.0→175.2
Auto20.6
Teleop131.8
End20.9
blue by 24.7
176
#4
199.90.8
198.6→199.4
Auto23.0
Teleop153.8
End21.9
Second
5492
#56
151.50.3
151.8→152.1
Auto15.2
Teleop109.5
End21.2
blue by 30.0
3536
#3
181.41.1
180.1→181.1
Auto21.2
Teleop131.3
End28.9
Third
5443
#43
112.60.7
112.0→112.6
Auto15.2
Teleop72.7
End19.9
blue by 20.5
3844
#30
133.11.2
131.9→133.1
Auto19.7
Teleop97.8
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned85%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
29%Face the Boss oddsMissed31%Face the Boss oddsMissed