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Qual 1112018 Darwin Division
Red138
548149.1
1018170.4
578170.3
Blue462
5036170.4
3535153.4
5406215.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335406100200500600700800900138462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1018
#46
170.40.7
170.6→171.3
Auto22.4
Teleop131.0
End14.3
blue by 45.2
5406
#2
215.60.2
214.8→214.7
Auto23.7
Teleop152.0
End41.3
Second
578
#26
170.30.4
169.9→170.3
Auto19.0
Teleop131.9
End18.3
blue by 0.1
5036
#19
170.40.5
169.9→170.4
Auto23.5
Teleop129.8
End17.2
Third
548
#52
149.11.2
147.9→149.1
Auto18.3
Teleop108.2
End21.9
blue by 4.3
3535
#41
153.40.5
152.9→153.4
Auto20.4
Teleop112.9
End23.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsMissed97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
21%Face the Boss oddsMissed87%Face the Boss oddsEarned