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Qual 142018 Darwin Division
Red393
3572152.8
5443112.6
2194180.6
Blue322
157135.6
1018170.4
857136.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320342100200400500600393322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2194
#15
180.61.2
170.1→171.3
Auto24.2
Teleop132.6
End24.2
red by 10.1
1018
#46
170.40.7
170.7→170.0
Auto22.4
Teleop131.0
End14.3
Second
3572
#35
152.80.7
157.9→157.2
Auto19.9
Teleop110.2
End22.7
red by 16.5
857
#65
136.30.4
138.5→138.9
Auto16.8
Teleop100.2
End16.8
Third
5443
#43
112.61.6
108.8→107.2
Auto15.2
Teleop72.7
End19.9
blue by 23.0
157
#53
135.60.5
139.4→139.9
Auto17.7
Teleop106.3
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
19%Face the Boss oddsEarned10%Face the Boss oddsMissed