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Qual 152018 Darwin Division
Red367
51158.1
4122137.1
176199.9
Blue298
578170.3
5234164.3
1711159.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3773100100200500600700367298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#4
199.90.4
193.2→192.9
Auto23.0
Teleop153.8
End21.9
red by 29.5
578
#26
170.31.0
163.6→164.5
Auto19.0
Teleop131.9
End18.3
Second
51
#36
158.10.9
157.1→157.9
Auto18.0
Teleop111.2
End28.1
blue by 6.2
5234
#31
164.31.4
172.4→171.0
Auto23.6
Teleop123.0
End19.0
Third
4122
#58
137.11.1
133.2→134.4
Auto20.5
Teleop103.2
End13.8
blue by 22.3
1711
#64
159.40.7
160.0→159.4
Auto17.2
Teleop126.3
End18.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsMissed86%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
21%Face the Boss oddsEarned8%Face the Boss oddsMissed