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Qual 162018 Darwin Division
Red361
6936122.5
4917210.7
3536181.4
Blue281
5434150.4
2451183.7
250133.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3753320100200500600700361281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4917
#23
210.70.5
214.4→213.8
Auto25.6
Teleop152.8
End30.3
red by 27.0
2451
#32
183.70.6
192.8→192.2
Auto20.6
Teleop144.1
End21.1
Second
3536
#3
181.40.4
176.9→177.3
Auto21.2
Teleop131.3
End28.9
red by 31.0
5434
#51
150.40.3
143.7→144.0
Auto25.4
Teleop110.1
End15.5
Third
6936
#29
122.50.9
123.0→122.1
Auto17.3
Teleop82.7
End24.9
blue by 10.5
250
#66
133.00.8
133.2→133.9
Auto17.3
Teleop99.7
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
87%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed