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Qual 212018 Darwin Division
Red308
4198159.5
4905155.6
772191.3
Blue349
3695170.8
6590129.6
2791201.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions337404200300500600700308349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
772
#17
191.31.7
195.4→193.7
Auto25.0
Teleop139.6
End28.0
blue by 9.7
2791
#25
201.00.7
204.8→205.5
Auto20.7
Teleop147.9
End28.7
Second
4198
#24
159.50.5
153.1→153.6
Auto18.4
Teleop116.1
End24.4
blue by 11.4
3695
#47
170.81.8
174.6→176.3
Auto19.7
Teleop125.1
End25.6
Third
4905
#62
155.60.4
158.5→158.9
Auto18.5
Teleop112.6
End22.4
red by 26.0
6590
#61
129.60.3
132.9→133.2
Auto19.3
Teleop96.8
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
64%Face the Boss oddsMissed48%Face the Boss oddsEarned