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Qual 222018 Darwin Division
Red354
3461175.2
5883190.0
3130199.4
Blue357
865194.7
78175.1
1391182.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382381355365370375385390395354357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3130
#49
199.42.0
189.5→191.5
Auto24.4
Teleop149.3
End25.1
red by 4.7
865
#7
194.71.0
189.0→190.0
Auto25.3
Teleop139.0
End28.1
Second
5883
#28
190.01.1
189.0→190.2
Auto21.1
Teleop141.2
End26.4
red by 7.9
1391
#12
182.11.6
172.8→174.4
Auto21.7
Teleop129.5
End30.6
Third
3461
#22
175.20.0
166.8→166.8
Auto20.6
Teleop131.8
End20.9
red by 0.1
78
#42
175.10.0
175.8→175.8
Auto22.0
Teleop125.9
End27.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed54%Face the Boss oddsEarned