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Qual 262018 Darwin Division
Red455
365192.3
578170.3
4198159.5
Blue303
4645101.5
977147.4
772191.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4202620100200300500600700455303

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#38
192.30.1
197.6→197.7
Auto23.4
Teleop142.9
End23.7
red by 1.0
772
#17
191.31.7
193.7→192.0
Auto25.0
Teleop139.6
End28.0
Second
578
#26
170.30.6
164.5→165.1
Auto19.0
Teleop131.9
End18.3
red by 22.9
977
#57
147.40.0
146.2→146.1
Auto18.2
Teleop105.3
End25.5
Third
4198
#24
159.50.0
153.6→153.6
Auto18.4
Teleop116.1
End24.4
red by 58.0
4645
#59
101.50.6
91.1→91.7
Auto14.5
Teleop76.6
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned72%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsEarned17%Face the Boss oddsEarned