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Red429
2451183.7
1418173.1
176199.9
Blue238
3504154.6
3130199.4
5339119.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4232600100200300500600700429238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#4
199.90.3
192.9192.5
Auto23.0
Teleop153.8
End21.9
red by 0.5
3130
#49
199.41.3
191.5192.8
Auto24.4
Teleop149.3
End25.1
Second
2451
#32
183.70.7
192.2191.5
Auto20.6
Teleop144.1
End21.1
red by 29.1
3504
#63
154.60.1
158.7158.8
Auto22.6
Teleop111.8
End19.8
Third
1418
#48
173.10.1
174.2174.3
Auto22.0
Teleop123.1
End29.9
red by 53.6
5339
#54
119.51.5
117.5119.0
Auto18.4
Teleop85.8
End14.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
19%Face the Boss oddsEarned14%Face the Boss oddsMissed