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Qual 292018 Darwin Division
Red382
3461175.2
4946178.9
5036170.4
Blue320
2337206.0
6590129.6
4917210.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3034220100200500600700382320

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4946
#9
178.90.6
174.1→174.7
Auto23.7
Teleop133.9
End16.6
blue by 31.8
4917
#23
210.70.8
213.8→213.1
Auto25.6
Teleop152.8
End30.3
Second
3461
#22
175.20.3
166.8→166.5
Auto20.6
Teleop131.8
End20.9
blue by 30.8
2337
#13
206.00.3
207.2→207.5
Auto23.6
Teleop157.9
End21.1
Third
5036
#19
170.41.0
171.3→170.3
Auto23.5
Teleop129.8
End17.2
red by 40.9
6590
#61
129.60.0
133.2→133.2
Auto19.3
Teleop96.8
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest oddsEarned99%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed62%Face the Boss oddsMissed