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Qual 302018 Darwin Division
Red359
4028193.8
5883190.0
157135.6
Blue415
56201.7
5740138.5
2791201.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372367300350400450500359415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#11
193.81.8
183.2→185.0
Auto20.0
Teleop138.7
End33.7
blue by 8.0
56
#1
201.70.5
201.1→201.6
Auto25.6
Teleop142.5
End30.9
Second
5883
#28
190.00.6
190.2→190.8
Auto21.1
Teleop141.2
End26.4
blue by 11.0
2791
#25
201.00.3
205.5→205.9
Auto20.7
Teleop147.9
End28.7
Third
157
#53
135.60.2
139.9→140.0
Auto17.7
Teleop106.3
End11.8
blue by 2.9
5740
#45
138.50.1
138.0→138.0
Auto18.0
Teleop100.2
End17.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsEarned87%Face the Boss oddsEarned