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Red304
4122137.1
3536181.4
4905155.6
Blue309
2834193.2
6947106.4
548149.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions371310100200400500600304309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181.40.0
177.3177.3
Auto21.2
Teleop131.3
End28.9
blue by 11.8
2834
#20
193.20.3
193.6193.4
Auto22.3
Teleop144.0
End24.6
Second
4905
#62
155.60.0
158.9158.9
Auto18.5
Teleop112.6
End22.4
red by 6.5
548
#52
149.10.2
146.0145.8
Auto18.3
Teleop108.2
End21.9
Third
4122
#58
137.10.9
134.4135.3
Auto20.5
Teleop103.2
End13.8
red by 30.7
6947
#44
106.40.9
105.4104.5
Auto17.0
Teleop81.9
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsEarned81%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
38%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsMissed