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Red364
247144.5
6193164.7
3542183.1
Blue307
5492151.5
5406215.6
111160.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305418200500600700364307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
183.11.1
171.0172.1
Auto23.4
Teleop132.4
End30.3
blue by 32.5
215.60.8
208.1208.9
Auto23.7
Teleop152.0
End41.3
Second
6193
#39
164.70.2
166.3166.0
Auto18.7
Teleop124.4
End17.2
red by 4.4
111
#55
160.30.9
168.9168.0
Auto19.2
Teleop125.6
End13.2
Third
247
#37
144.51.3
150.8149.4
Auto17.4
Teleop105.6
End20.0
blue by 7.0
5492
#56
151.51.7
147.8149.5
Auto15.2
Teleop109.5
End21.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
39%Face the Boss oddsEarned62%Face the Boss oddsEarned