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Red402
1625174.5
3274141.5
56201.7
Blue269
250133.0
1711159.4
4645101.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions460238100200300400500600700800402269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
#1
201.70.5
201.6202.1
Auto25.6
Teleop142.5
End30.9
red by 42.3
1711
#64
159.40.2
158.6158.4
Auto17.2
Teleop126.3
End18.9
Second
1625
#16
174.51.2
178.5177.2
Auto25.9
Teleop115.4
End31.9
red by 41.5
250
#66
133.00.1
134.4134.3
Auto17.3
Teleop99.7
End12.8
Third
3274
#40
141.50.3
142.1142.4
Auto18.1
Teleop110.6
End12.7
red by 40.0
4645
#59
101.50.9
91.792.6
Auto14.5
Teleop76.6
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
65%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsMissed