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Red194
2481207.1
365192.3
3695170.8
Blue378
3130199.4
578170.3
4946178.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions439308100200400500600700194378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2481
#33
207.10.2
215.8215.6
Auto23.5
Teleop168.4
End15.6
red by 7.8
3130
#49
199.40.8
192.8193.6
Auto24.4
Teleop149.3
End25.1
Second
365
#38
192.30.8
197.7198.5
Auto23.4
Teleop142.9
End23.7
red by 13.4
178.91.0
174.7175.7
Auto23.7
Teleop133.9
End16.6
Third
3695
#47
170.81.4
177.5178.9
Auto19.7
Teleop125.1
End25.6
red by 0.5
578
#26
170.31.1
165.1166.2
Auto19.0
Teleop131.9
End18.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
23%Face the Boss oddsMissed16%Face the Boss oddsMissed