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Qual 472018 Darwin Division
Red354
4122137.1
250133.0
3130199.4
Blue465
772191.3
1018170.4
3542183.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2864120100200500600700354465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3130
#49
199.40.9
193.6→194.5
Auto24.4
Teleop149.3
End25.1
red by 8.0
772
#17
191.30.5
191.0→190.5
Auto25.0
Teleop139.6
End28.0
Second
4122
#58
137.10.2
135.8→136.0
Auto20.5
Teleop103.2
End13.8
blue by 46.0
3542
#5
183.11.6
172.1→173.6
Auto23.4
Teleop132.4
End30.3
Third
250
#66
133.00.0
134.3→134.3
Auto17.3
Teleop99.7
End12.8
blue by 37.4
1018
#46
170.40.0
169.0→169.0
Auto22.4
Teleop131.0
End14.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsEarned98%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed51%Face the Boss oddsEarned