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Red152
3504154.6
3572152.8
6947106.4
Blue431
4946178.9
5443112.6
2481207.1
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2314070100300500600700152431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3504
#63
154.60.3
158.7158.4
Auto22.6
Teleop111.8
End19.8
blue by 52.5
2481
#33
207.12.0
215.6213.6
Auto23.5
Teleop168.4
End15.6
Second
3572
#35
152.80.0
157.5157.5
Auto19.9
Teleop110.2
End22.7
blue by 26.1
178.91.1
175.7176.8
Auto23.7
Teleop133.9
End16.6
Third
6947
#44
106.40.1
103.9103.7
Auto17.0
Teleop81.9
End11.8
blue by 6.2
5443
#43
112.60.8
106.9107.7
Auto15.2
Teleop72.7
End19.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned72%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed