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Qual 492018 Darwin Division
Red220
157135.6
6590129.6
51158.1
Blue518
3536181.4
125209.2
1625174.5
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2534610100200300400500600700220518

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#36
158.11.3
159.6→160.9
Auto18.0
Teleop111.2
End28.1
blue by 51.1
125
#10
209.20.6
211.0→210.4
Auto24.2
Teleop162.1
End18.4
Second
157
#53
135.60.7
140.2→139.5
Auto17.7
Teleop106.3
End11.8
blue by 45.8
3536
#3
181.40.3
177.1→177.4
Auto21.2
Teleop131.3
End28.9
Third
6590
#61
129.60.6
132.7→132.1
Auto19.3
Teleop96.8
End14.9
blue by 45.0
1625
#16
174.51.0
177.2→176.2
Auto25.9
Teleop115.4
End31.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed65%Face the Boss oddsEarned