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Red489
977147.4
177203.3
5883190.0
Blue255
548149.1
3274141.5
2451183.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41530202006008001,000489255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#14
203.31.0
203.7204.7
Auto20.3
Teleop147.5
End33.3
red by 19.6
2451
#32
183.70.1
191.2191.1
Auto20.6
Teleop144.1
End21.1
Second
5883
#28
190.00.8
191.2192.1
Auto21.1
Teleop141.2
End26.4
red by 40.9
548
#52
149.10.6
145.7146.4
Auto18.3
Teleop108.2
End21.9
Third
977
#57
147.40.1
146.4146.5
Auto18.2
Teleop105.3
End25.5
red by 6.0
3274
#40
141.50.2
142.4142.6
Auto18.1
Teleop110.6
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned57%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
73%Face the Boss oddsEarned18%Face the Boss oddsMissed