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Qual 512018 Darwin Division
Red434
5434150.4
6869148.2
6193164.7
Blue268
78175.1
3844133.1
5036170.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3283690100200400500600434268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6193
#39
164.70.5
166.5→166.0
Auto18.7
Teleop124.4
End17.2
blue by 10.4
78
#42
175.10.1
176.2→176.3
Auto22.0
Teleop125.9
End27.6
Second
5434
#51
150.40.6
144.3→144.8
Auto25.4
Teleop110.1
End15.5
blue by 20.0
5036
#19
170.40.2
169.9→170.2
Auto23.5
Teleop129.8
End17.2
Third
6869
#21
148.21.0
145.4→146.4
Auto17.2
Teleop113.1
End18.6
red by 15.1
3844
#30
133.11.2
128.7→129.9
Auto19.7
Teleop97.8
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss oddsEarned16%Face the Boss oddsMissed