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Red442
2337206.0
2834193.2
857136.3
Blue194
6936122.5
111160.3
365192.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4092860100200500600442194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2337
#13
206.00.5
207.2206.7
Auto23.6
Teleop157.9
End21.1
red by 13.8
365
#38
192.31.3
198.5197.2
Auto23.4
Teleop142.9
End23.7
Second
2834
#20
193.20.4
193.2192.8
Auto22.3
Teleop144.0
End24.6
red by 32.9
111
#55
160.31.1
168.0167.0
Auto19.2
Teleop125.6
End13.2
Third
857
#65
136.30.5
138.6138.1
Auto16.8
Teleop100.2
End16.8
red by 13.8
6936
#29
122.50.1
120.0119.9
Auto17.3
Teleop82.7
End24.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
56%Face the Boss oddsMissed18%Face the Boss oddsMissed