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Qual 552018 Darwin Division
Red379
865194.7
4645101.5
3461175.2
Blue287
6823144.0
1519187.9
4905155.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3143810100200500600700800379287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#7
194.70.0
191.8→191.8
Auto25.3
Teleop139.0
End28.1
red by 6.8
1519
#18
187.91.6
182.4→184.0
Auto22.8
Teleop145.5
End21.2
Second
3461
#22
175.20.5
166.7→167.2
Auto20.6
Teleop131.8
End20.9
red by 19.6
4905
#62
155.61.0
158.6→157.6
Auto18.5
Teleop112.6
End22.4
Third
4645
#59
101.50.7
92.6→93.3
Auto14.5
Teleop76.6
End11.5
blue by 42.5
6823
#60
144.00.8
148.1→147.4
Auto17.1
Teleop114.6
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsEarned9%Face the Boss oddsMissed