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Red308
4645101.5
3542183.1
2194180.6
Blue415
234204.2
3536181.4
5036170.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions297440100200400500600700308415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
183.11.9
173.6175.5
Auto23.4
Teleop132.4
End30.3
blue by 21.1
234
#8
204.21.7
195.8197.5
Auto27.6
Teleop141.7
End37.3
Second
2194
#15
180.61.3
176.3177.7
Auto24.2
Teleop132.6
End24.2
blue by 0.9
181.40.4
177.4177.8
Auto21.2
Teleop131.3
End28.9
Third
4645
#59
101.51.4
93.394.7
Auto14.5
Teleop76.6
End11.5
blue by 69.0
5036
#19
170.40.3
170.2169.9
Auto23.5
Teleop129.8
End17.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
40%Face the Boss oddsMissed51%Face the Boss oddsEarned