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Red230
5234164.3
111160.3
3572152.8
Blue444
125209.2
56201.7
1519187.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2634570100200300400500600700230444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5234
#31
164.30.7
167.3166.6
Auto23.6
Teleop123.0
End19.0
blue by 44.9
125
#10
209.20.3
210.4210.1
Auto24.2
Teleop162.1
End18.4
Second
111
#55
160.31.4
167.0165.6
Auto19.2
Teleop125.6
End13.2
blue by 41.4
56
#1
201.70.3
202.5202.7
Auto25.6
Teleop142.5
End30.9
Third
3572
#35
152.80.4
157.5157.1
Auto19.9
Teleop110.2
End22.7
blue by 35.1
1519
#18
187.90.6
184.0184.6
Auto22.8
Teleop145.5
End21.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsMissed37%Face the Boss oddsEarned