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Red322
4458153.5
2791201.0
78175.1
Blue423
177203.3
4946178.9
548149.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions341415100200300500600700322423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2791
#25
201.01.0
206.3205.4
Auto20.7
Teleop147.9
End28.7
blue by 2.3
177
#14
203.30.8
204.7205.5
Auto20.3
Teleop147.5
End33.3
Second
78
#42
175.10.4
176.3175.9
Auto22.0
Teleop125.9
End27.6
blue by 3.8
178.91.4
176.8178.3
Auto23.7
Teleop133.9
End16.6
Third
4458
#34
153.50.0
154.4154.3
Auto19.1
Teleop106.9
End28.1
red by 4.4
548
#52
149.10.1
146.4146.5
Auto18.3
Teleop108.2
End21.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
73%Face the Boss oddsMissed68%Face the Boss oddsEarned