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Red212
3535153.4
5443112.6
977147.4
Blue453
5406215.6
3461175.2
6936122.5
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2504340100200300400500600700212453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3535
#41
153.40.2
152.3152.2
Auto20.4
Teleop112.9
End23.3
blue by 62.2
215.61.2
209.2210.4
Auto23.7
Teleop152.0
End41.3
Second
977
#57
147.40.0
146.5146.6
Auto18.2
Teleop105.3
End25.5
blue by 27.8
3461
#22
175.21.3
167.2168.5
Auto20.6
Teleop131.8
End20.9
Third
5443
#43
112.61.1
107.7108.9
Auto15.2
Teleop72.7
End19.9
blue by 9.9
6936
#29
122.50.5
119.9119.4
Auto17.3
Teleop82.7
End24.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsEarned85%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
47%Face the Boss oddsEarned82%Face the Boss oddsEarned