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Red206
1711159.4
5339119.5
3695170.8
Blue444
3542183.1
2337206.0
494210.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2194740100300400600700206444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3695
#47
170.81.1
177.4176.3
Auto19.7
Teleop125.1
End25.6
blue by 39.6
494
#6
210.40.4
212.3211.9
Auto21.6
Teleop161.2
End26.0
Second
1711
#64
159.40.6
158.3158.9
Auto17.2
Teleop126.3
End18.9
blue by 46.6
2337
#13
206.00.0
206.7206.7
Auto23.6
Teleop157.9
End21.1
Third
5339
#54
119.50.4
120.1119.7
Auto18.4
Teleop85.8
End14.7
blue by 63.6
183.11.5
175.5177.0
Auto23.4
Teleop132.4
End30.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsEarned98%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed64%Face the Boss oddsEarned