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Qual 702018 Darwin Division
Red250
2501154.1
111160.3
578170.3
Blue461
4917210.7
6947106.4
3274141.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365305100200400500600250461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
578
#26
170.31.1
168.3→169.4
Auto19.0
Teleop131.9
End18.3
blue by 40.4
4917
#23
210.71.0
208.8→207.8
Auto25.6
Teleop152.8
End30.3
Second
111
#55
160.31.5
165.6→164.1
Auto19.2
Teleop125.6
End13.2
red by 18.8
3274
#40
141.50.7
142.4→141.8
Auto18.1
Teleop110.6
End12.7
Third
2501
#50
154.11.0
153.4→154.5
Auto19.0
Teleop111.2
End23.7
red by 47.7
6947
#44
106.40.3
103.3→102.9
Auto17.0
Teleop81.9
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed27%Face the Boss oddsMissed