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Red250
2451183.7
6590129.6
4458153.5
Blue324
6823144.0
3572152.8
2834193.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions309383100200500600250324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2451
#32
183.71.4
190.7189.3
Auto20.6
Teleop144.1
End21.1
blue by 9.5
2834
#20
193.20.2
192.9193.1
Auto22.3
Teleop144.0
End24.6
Second
4458
#34
153.50.5
154.3153.8
Auto19.1
Teleop106.9
End28.1
red by 0.7
3572
#35
152.80.7
157.1156.3
Auto19.9
Teleop110.2
End22.7
Third
6590
#61
129.61.0
131.4130.4
Auto19.3
Teleop96.8
End14.9
blue by 14.4
6823
#60
144.00.7
146.1145.4
Auto17.1
Teleop114.6
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsEarned17%Face the Boss oddsMissed