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Qual 722018 Darwin Division
Red651
247144.5
5434150.4
56201.7
Blue409
3461175.2
3504154.6
4122137.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions389319100200500600651409

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
#1
201.70.4
202.7→203.1
Auto25.6
Teleop142.5
End30.9
red by 26.5
3461
#22
175.21.6
168.5→170.1
Auto20.6
Teleop131.8
End20.9
Second
5434
#51
150.41.5
146.2→147.7
Auto25.4
Teleop110.1
End15.5
blue by 4.2
3504
#63
154.61.1
157.8→156.7
Auto22.6
Teleop111.8
End19.8
Third
247
#37
144.50.9
147.8→146.9
Auto17.4
Teleop105.6
End20.0
red by 7.4
4122
#58
137.10.3
136.2→135.8
Auto20.5
Teleop103.2
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
98%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
29%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed