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Qual 732018 Darwin Division
Red299
857136.3
3130199.4
1391182.1
Blue418
125209.2
5914144.6
5036170.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions369372300350400450500299418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3130
#49
199.41.1
195.3→196.4
Auto24.4
Teleop149.3
End25.1
blue by 9.8
125
#10
209.20.1
210.1→210.0
Auto24.2
Teleop162.1
End18.4
Second
1391
#12
182.10.8
179.9→180.7
Auto21.7
Teleop129.5
End30.6
red by 11.7
5036
#19
170.40.1
169.9→169.8
Auto23.5
Teleop129.8
End17.2
Third
857
#65
136.30.6
138.1→137.5
Auto16.8
Teleop100.2
End16.8
blue by 8.3
5914
#27
144.60.9
142.7→143.7
Auto18.2
Teleop105.0
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
47%Face the Boss oddsMissed20%Face the Boss oddsMissed