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Red430
1519187.9
3536181.4
3535153.4
Blue389
2791201.0
6193164.7
177203.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327413200300500600700430389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
#18
187.90.6
184.6185.2
Auto22.8
Teleop145.5
End21.2
blue by 15.4
177
#14
203.30.9
205.5206.4
Auto20.3
Teleop147.5
End33.3
Second
181.40.5
177.8178.3
Auto21.2
Teleop131.3
End28.9
blue by 19.6
2791
#25
201.01.3
205.4204.1
Auto20.7
Teleop147.9
End28.7
Third
3535
#41
153.40.0
152.2152.2
Auto20.4
Teleop112.9
End23.3
blue by 11.3
6193
#39
164.70.2
166.5166.3
Auto18.7
Teleop124.4
End17.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
53%Face the Boss oddsMissed97%Face the Boss oddsMissed