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Red445
4645101.5
5406215.6
1018170.4
Blue182
4946178.9
865194.7
51158.1
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303429100200500600700800445182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
215.61.6
210.4212.0
Auto23.7
Teleop152.0
End41.3
red by 20.9
865
#7
194.71.4
192.7194.1
Auto25.3
Teleop139.0
End28.1
Second
1018
#46
170.40.0
169.7169.7
Auto22.4
Teleop131.0
End14.3
blue by 8.5
178.91.4
178.3179.6
Auto23.7
Teleop133.9
End16.6
Third
4645
#59
101.51.1
94.795.8
Auto14.5
Teleop76.6
End11.5
blue by 56.6
51
#36
158.10.4
161.7161.3
Auto18.0
Teleop111.2
End28.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
67%Face the Boss oddsEarned65%Face the Boss oddsMissed