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Qual 782018 Darwin Division
Red438
78175.1
157135.6
1418173.1
Blue201
3117129.5
4905155.6
5492151.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3883040100200500600700438201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#42
175.10.3
174.8→175.1
Auto22.0
Teleop125.9
End27.6
red by 19.5
4905
#62
155.60.6
155.0→155.6
Auto18.5
Teleop112.6
End22.4
Second
1418
#48
173.10.8
174.0→173.1
Auto22.0
Teleop123.1
End29.9
red by 21.7
5492
#56
151.50.7
152.1→151.5
Auto15.2
Teleop109.5
End21.2
Third
157
#53
135.60.2
135.9→135.6
Auto17.7
Teleop106.3
End11.8
red by 6.1
3117
#67
129.51.2
130.8→129.5
Auto18.4
Teleop95.8
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned74%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
15%Face the Boss oddsEarned36%Face the Boss oddsMissed