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Red301
977147.4
6947106.4
3542183.1
Blue489
857136.3
1625174.5
176199.9
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285407100200500600700301489

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
183.11.4
177.0178.4
Auto23.4
Teleop132.4
End30.3
blue by 16.8
176
#4
199.90.9
196.3197.1
Auto23.0
Teleop153.8
End21.9
Second
977
#57
147.40.1
146.6146.7
Auto18.2
Teleop105.3
End25.5
blue by 27.1
1625
#16
174.50.3
174.6174.2
Auto25.9
Teleop115.4
End31.9
Third
6947
#44
106.40.8
102.9103.7
Auto17.0
Teleop81.9
End11.8
blue by 29.9
857
#65
136.30.8
137.5136.7
Auto16.8
Teleop100.2
End16.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
37%Face the Boss oddsEarned55%Face the Boss oddsEarned