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Qual 822018 Darwin Division
Red395
2451183.7
125209.2
4946178.9
Blue330
2194180.6
4198159.5
494210.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39233002006008001,0001,200395330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#10
209.20.0
210.0→210.0
Auto24.2
Teleop162.1
End18.4
blue by 1.2
494
#6
210.40.1
211.9→211.8
Auto21.6
Teleop161.2
End26.0
Second
2451
#32
183.71.1
189.3→188.1
Auto20.6
Teleop144.1
End21.1
red by 3.2
2194
#15
180.61.0
178.8→179.8
Auto24.2
Teleop132.6
End24.2
Third
4946
#9
178.90.4
179.6→179.3
Auto23.7
Teleop133.9
End16.6
red by 19.4
4198
#24
159.50.8
158.1→158.9
Auto18.4
Teleop116.1
End24.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
20%Face the Boss oddsMissed51%Face the Boss oddsMissed