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Qual 832018 Darwin Division
Red454
4905155.6
234204.2
6936122.5
Blue202
3274141.5
3117129.5
1018170.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34135702006008001,000454202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#8
204.21.1
199.1→200.2
Auto27.6
Teleop141.7
End37.3
red by 33.8
1018
#46
170.41.1
169.7→170.8
Auto22.4
Teleop131.0
End14.3
Second
4905
#62
155.61.2
156.1→154.9
Auto18.5
Teleop112.6
End22.4
red by 14.1
3274
#40
141.50.6
141.8→142.4
Auto18.1
Teleop110.6
End12.7
Third
6936
#29
122.50.5
119.6→120.1
Auto17.3
Teleop82.7
End24.9
blue by 7.0
3117
#67
129.51.3
136.4→135.1
Auto18.4
Teleop95.8
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned85%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
67%Face the Boss oddsEarned18%Face the Boss oddsMissed