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Red365
2834193.2
3461175.2
5339119.5
Blue341
772191.3
548149.1
5234164.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions356346100200300400500600365341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2834
#20
193.20.0
193.1193.1
Auto22.3
Teleop144.0
End24.6
red by 1.9
772
#17
191.30.2
190.3190.1
Auto25.0
Teleop139.6
End28.0
Second
3461
#22
175.21.9
170.1172.1
Auto20.6
Teleop131.8
End20.9
red by 10.9
5234
#31
164.30.9
165.6164.7
Auto23.6
Teleop123.0
End19.0
Third
5339
#54
119.50.5
119.7119.1
Auto18.4
Teleop85.8
End14.7
blue by 29.6
548
#52
149.10.4
146.8147.2
Auto18.3
Teleop108.2
End21.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
75%Auto Quest oddsMissed97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsEarned46%Face the Boss oddsEarned