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Red338
5434150.4
1391182.1
1711159.4
Blue462
5492151.5
1018170.4
365192.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331380100200300500600700338462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1391
#12
182.10.3
181.0181.3
Auto21.7
Teleop129.5
End30.6
blue by 10.2
365
#38
192.30.9
193.6192.7
Auto23.4
Teleop142.9
End23.7
Second
1711
#64
159.40.1
159.2159.0
Auto17.2
Teleop126.3
End18.9
blue by 11.0
1018
#46
170.40.2
170.8170.6
Auto22.4
Teleop131.0
End14.3
Third
5434
#51
150.41.0
147.7148.7
Auto25.4
Teleop110.1
End15.5
blue by 1.0
5492
#56
151.50.5
151.8151.4
Auto15.2
Teleop109.5
End21.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsEarned15%Face the Boss oddsEarned