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Qual 912018 Darwin Division
Red413
3536181.4
3274141.5
494210.4
Blue387
3130199.4
4198159.5
4458153.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4023200200600800413387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#6
210.40.6
211.8→211.3
Auto21.6
Teleop161.2
End26.0
red by 11.0
3130
#49
199.40.7
196.9→197.6
Auto24.4
Teleop149.3
End25.1
Second
3536
#3
181.41.0
179.1→180.1
Auto21.2
Teleop131.3
End28.9
red by 22.0
4198
#24
159.50.2
158.9→159.0
Auto18.4
Teleop116.1
End24.4
Third
3274
#40
141.50.7
142.4→141.7
Auto18.1
Teleop110.6
End12.7
blue by 12.0
4458
#34
153.50.1
153.5→153.3
Auto19.1
Teleop106.9
End28.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
34%Face the Boss oddsEarned35%Face the Boss oddsMissed