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Red321
578170.3
3542183.1
6590129.6
Blue388
2194180.6
247144.5
1519187.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions321385100200500600700321388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
183.11.6
178.4180.0
Auto23.4
Teleop132.4
End30.3
blue by 4.8
1519
#18
187.90.7
186.1186.7
Auto22.8
Teleop145.5
End21.2
Second
578
#26
170.30.2
169.7169.9
Auto19.0
Teleop131.9
End18.3
blue by 10.2
2194
#15
180.60.3
179.8180.1
Auto24.2
Teleop132.6
End24.2
Third
6590
#61
129.60.1
129.7129.6
Auto19.3
Teleop96.8
End14.9
blue by 14.9
247
#37
144.51.0
146.1145.0
Auto17.4
Teleop105.6
End20.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
25%Face the Boss oddsEarned12%Face the Boss oddsEarned