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Red209
3117129.5
857136.3
5740138.5
Blue399
177203.3
3695170.8
3461175.2
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2394650100200300400600700800209399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5740
#45
138.50.3
138.5138.8
Auto18.0
Teleop100.2
End17.6
blue by 64.8
177
#14
203.30.7
206.7206.0
Auto20.3
Teleop147.5
End33.3
Second
857
#65
136.30.1
136.7136.8
Auto16.8
Teleop100.2
End16.8
blue by 38.9
3461
#22
175.21.9
172.1174.0
Auto20.6
Teleop131.8
End20.9
Third
3117
#67
129.52.1
135.1133.0
Auto18.4
Teleop95.8
End9.6
blue by 41.3
3695
#47
170.82.3
175.2172.9
Auto19.7
Teleop125.1
End25.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
33%Face the Boss oddsMissed78%Face the Boss oddsEarned