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Red389
56201.7
2337206.0
2451183.7
Blue255
5443112.6
78175.1
5914144.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4831950100300400600389255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2337
#13
206.00.2
206.9207.1
Auto23.6
Teleop157.9
End21.1
red by 30.9
78
#42
175.10.3
175.2174.8
Auto22.0
Teleop125.9
End27.6
Second
56
#1
201.70.2
203.2203.4
Auto25.6
Teleop142.5
End30.9
red by 57.1
5914
#27
144.60.0
144.5144.5
Auto18.2
Teleop105.0
End17.4
Third
2451
#32
183.71.4
188.1186.8
Auto20.6
Teleop144.1
End21.1
red by 71.1
5443
#43
112.60.9
111.1112.0
Auto15.2
Teleop72.7
End19.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
58%Face the Boss oddsMissed31%Face the Boss oddsMissed