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Qual 972018 Darwin Division
Red390
157135.6
2791201.0
5234164.3
Blue263
250133.0
111160.3
977147.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3932860100200500600390263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2791
#25
201.01.1
202.7→201.6
Auto20.7
Teleop147.9
End28.7
red by 40.7
111
#55
160.31.1
162.3→161.2
Auto19.2
Teleop125.6
End13.2
Second
5234
#31
164.30.3
164.7→164.4
Auto23.6
Teleop123.0
End19.0
red by 16.8
977
#57
147.40.1
147.3→147.4
Auto18.2
Teleop105.3
End25.5
Third
157
#53
135.61.4
138.2→136.8
Auto17.7
Teleop106.3
End11.8
red by 2.6
250
#66
133.00.6
134.1→133.6
Auto17.3
Teleop99.7
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned54%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
27%Face the Boss oddsMissed15%Face the Boss oddsMissed