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Qual 982018 Darwin Division
Red315
2834193.2
1625174.5
5406215.6
Blue282
2481207.1
1418173.1
5434150.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions379360200250300400450500550315282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5406
#2
215.60.5
214.3→214.8
Auto23.7
Teleop152.0
End41.3
red by 8.5
2481
#33
207.10.8
210.4→209.5
Auto23.5
Teleop168.4
End15.6
Second
2834
#20
193.20.4
193.1→193.5
Auto22.3
Teleop144.0
End24.6
red by 20.1
1418
#48
173.10.0
174.5→174.5
Auto22.0
Teleop123.1
End29.9
Third
1625
#16
174.50.5
174.2→174.7
Auto25.9
Teleop115.4
End31.9
red by 24.1
5434
#51
150.41.3
148.7→149.9
Auto25.4
Teleop110.1
End15.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
97%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed