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Qual 992018 Darwin Division
Red154
3504154.6
4028193.8
6869148.2
Blue450
125209.2
772191.3
4122137.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3273830100200500600700800154450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#11
193.81.3
192.8→194.0
Auto20.0
Teleop138.7
End33.7
blue by 15.4
125
#10
209.20.5
210.0→209.6
Auto24.2
Teleop162.1
End18.4
Second
3504
#63
154.60.3
156.4→156.1
Auto22.6
Teleop111.8
End19.8
blue by 36.7
772
#17
191.30.2
190.1→190.3
Auto25.0
Teleop139.6
End28.0
Third
6869
#21
148.20.2
149.1→149.3
Auto17.2
Teleop113.1
End18.6
red by 11.1
4122
#58
137.10.3
136.2→136.4
Auto20.5
Teleop103.2
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsMissed97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
51%Face the Boss oddsMissed33%Face the Boss oddsMissed