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Qual 272018 EMCC
Red391
4207136.2
5464145.3
4239151.6
Blue174
4215124.7
7028136.9
4859133.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3642600100200300400500600391174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4239
#5
151.60.8
145.9→146.6
Auto19.8
Teleop114.5
End17.2
red by 14.7
7028
#13
136.91.4
134.3→135.7
Auto17.3
Teleop97.1
End24.8
Second
5464
#6
145.30.0
143.2→143.2
Auto14.1
Teleop104.3
End23.2
red by 12.1
4859
#22
133.20.6
135.7→135.1
Auto16.5
Teleop103.6
End9.3
Third
4207
#17
136.20.5
135.5→135.1
Auto18.0
Teleop107.4
End10.2
red by 11.5
4215
#25
124.70.7
122.7→123.4
Auto15.4
Teleop95.8
End15.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned50%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed